New Orleans
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 93.8324Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 6-10 214 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4-12 214 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 5 222 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 1- 9 224 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 11- 3 317 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 2- 5 318 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 12- 3 331 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2- 1 407 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 2- 5 410 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 1- 5 411 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3- 4 412 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 8- 7 414 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 11-10 421 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7-10 429 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2- 4 505 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 9- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Georgia State 6-10 -4 0 - -3.52
214 A Georgia State 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.52
214 A Georgia State 4- 5 -1 0 -0.52
222 H UL Monroe 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.89
224 H Tulane 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.90
317 A Tulane 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
318 H Florida International 12- 3 9 2 +++ 7.27
331 A South Alabama 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.04
407 H Middle Tennessee 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.08
410 H Creighton 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.09
411 A Illinois 3- 4 -1 -2 0.99
412 A Illinois 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.99
414 H Troy 11-10 1 -2 + 2.72
421 A LSU 7-10 -3 -4 0.85
429 H South Alabama 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.31
505 A Louisiana 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.92
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Georgia State 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.52 222 H UL Monroe 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.89 407 H Middle Tennessee 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.08 410 H Creighton 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.09 213 A Georgia State 6-10 -4 0 - -3.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Tulane 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.90 318 H Florida International 12- 3 9 2 +++ 7.27 505 A Louisiana 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.92 331 A South Alabama 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.04 412 A Illinois 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.99 414 H Troy 11-10 1 -2 + 2.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 6-10 -6.26 12.16 0.68 1.81 -5.05
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4-12 -6.26 12.16 0.68 1.81 -5.05
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 5 -6.26 12.16 0.68 1.81 -5.05
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 1- 9 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 1.81 -5.39
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 11- 3 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 1.81 44.31
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 2- 5 -5.49 12.93 0.68 1.81 -4.35
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 12- 3 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 1.81 38.43
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2- 1 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.81 52.05
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 2- 5 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 1.81 -6.46
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 1- 5 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 1.81 -5.57
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.75 13.67 0.68 1.81 -3.68
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 8- 7 -4.75 13.67 0.68 1.81 51.88
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 11-10 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.81 50.88
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 7-10 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.81 -2.00
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2- 4 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 1.81 -4.86
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 9- 6 -4.82 13.61 0.68 1.81 51.63
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241.71
|
winning pts = 289.1705 losing points = -47.4608
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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